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01418nam a2200241 a 4500 |
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1798961 |
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20171111234545.0 |
| 008 |
091015s2010 nyua sb 001 0 eng |
| 020 |
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|z 9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper)
|z 0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper)
|z 9780231521673 (ebook)
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| 040 |
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|a CaPaEBR
|z 0231521677 (ebook)
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| 050 |
1 |
4 |
|a HG4529
|b .P67 2010eb
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Posner, Kenneth A.
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| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Stalking the black swan
|b research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
|c Kenneth A. Posner.
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| 260 |
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|a New York :
|b Columbia Business School Publishing,
|c c2010.
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| 300 |
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|a xv, 267 p. :
|b ill.
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| 504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references and index.
|
| 505 |
0 |
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|a Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
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| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Investment analysis.
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| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Investments
|x Forecasting.
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| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Business cycles.
|
| 710 |
2 |
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|a ebrary, Inc.
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| 856 |
4 |
0 |
|u http://site.ebrary.com/lib/ucy/Doc?id=10419632
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| 952 |
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|a CY-NiOUC
|b 5a0459476c5ad14ac1ed2de6
|c 998a
|d 945l
|e -
|t 1
|x m
|z Books
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