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An introduction to management science : quantitative approaches to decision making /

Main Author: Anderson, David R. 1941-
Format: Book
Language:English
Edition:Fourteenth edition.
Subjects:
Management science.
Management science > Mathematical models.
Management science
Table of Contents:
  • Contents note continued: 13.3.Decision Making with Probabilities
  • Expected Value of Perfect Information
  • 13.4.Risk Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis
  • Risk Analysis
  • Sensitivity Analysis
  • 13.5.Decision Analysis with Sample Information
  • Influence Diagram
  • Decision Tree
  • Decision Strategy
  • Risk Profile
  • Expected Value of Sample Information
  • Efficiency of Sample Information
  • 13.6.Computing Branch Probabilities with Bayes' Theorem
  • 13.7.Utility Theory
  • Utility and Decision Analysis
  • Utility Functions
  • Exponential Utility Function
  • Summary
  • Glossary
  • Problems
  • Case Problem 1 Property Purchase Strategy
  • Case Problem 2 Lawsuit Defense Strategy
  • Appendix 13.1 Using Analytic Solver Platform to Create Decision Trees
  • Appendix 13.2 Decision Analysis with TreePlan
  • 14.1.Goal Programming: Formulation and Graphical Solution
  • Developing the Constraints and the Goal Equations
  • Developing an Objective Function with Preemptive Priorities
  • Graphical Solution Procedure
  • Goal Programming Model
  • 14.2.Goal Programming: Solving More Complex Problems
  • Suncoast Office Supplies Problem
  • Formulating the Goal Equations
  • Formulating the Objective Function
  • Computer Solution
  • 14.3.Scoring Models
  • 14.4.Analytic Hierarchy Process
  • Developing the Hierarchy
  • 14.5.Establishing Priorities Using AHP
  • Pairwise Comparisons
  • Pairwise Comparison Matrix
  • Synthesization
  • Consistency
  • Other Pairwise Comparisons for the Car Selection Problem
  • 14.6.Using AHP to Develop an Overall Priority Ranking
  • Summary
  • Glossary
  • Problems
  • Case Problem 1 EZ Trailers, Inc.
  • Appendix 14.1 Scoring Models With Excel
  • 15.1.Time Series Patterns
  • Horizontal Pattern
  • Trend Pattern
  • Seasonal Pattern
  • Trend and Seasonal Pattern
  • Cyclical Pattern
  • Selecting a Forecasting Method
  • 15.2.Forecast Accuracy
  • 15.3.Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing
  • Moving Averages
  • Weighted Moving Averages
  • Exponential Smoothing
  • 15.4.Linear Trend Projection
  • 15.5.Seasonality
  • Seasonality Without Trend
  • Seasonality with Trend
  • Models Based on Monthly Data
  • Summary
  • Glossary
  • Problems
  • Case Problem 1 Forecasting Food and Beverage Sales
  • Case Problem 2 Forecasting Lost Sales
  • Appendix 15.1 Forecasting with Excel Data Analysis Tools
  • Appendix A Building Spreadsheet Models
  • Appendix B Areas for the Standard Normal Distribution
  • Appendix C Values of e-λ
  • Appendix D References and Bibliography
  • Appendix E Self-Test Solutions and Answers to Even-Numbered Problems.

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