Global financial crises and reforms : cases and caveats /

Other Authors: Ghosh, B. N.
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: London ; New York : Routledge, 2002.
Series:Routledge studies in the modern world economy ; 27
Subjects:
Online Access:http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=70444
Table of Contents:
  • Machine generated contents note: Introduction 1
  • B.N. GHOSH
  • PART I
  • Causes and correlates 7
  • 1 The twin crises: the causes of banking and balance-of-payments problems 9
  • GRACIELA L. KAMINSKY AND CARMEN M. REINHART
  • Introduction 9
  • The links between banking and currency crises 11
  • The macroeconomic background of the crises 18
  • The anatomy of crises 27
  • Final remarks 35
  • 2 The Asian currency crisis: afait accompli? 48
  • OBIYATHULLA ISMATH BACHA
  • Introduction 48
  • Objective and motivation 48
  • Literature review 49
  • What went wrong in East Asia 52
  • Monetary policy: rapid expansion 55
  • Vulnerability, herd behavior and self-fulfilling crises 65
  • Conclusion 70
  • 3 Financial crisis in the MIT countries: myths and realities 77
  • B.N. GHOSH
  • Introduction 77
  • Myths and realities 78
  • Speculative attack: which model to apply? 91
  • Systemic implications of the crisis 94
  • Concluding observations 97
  • 4 Japanese banking problems: implications for Southeast Asia 102
  • JOE PEEK AND ERIC S. ROSENGREN
  • Introduction 102
  • Recent trends in the global operations of Japanese banks 103
  • Patterns in Japanese lending in Southeast Asia 108
  • Impact of Southeast Asian loans on problems at Japanese Banks 115
  • Were Japanese bank lending patterns different from
  • those of the US and European banks? 117
  • Southeast Asian penetration by Japanese banks 120
  • Conclusion 123
  • PART II
  • Cases and caveats 127
  • 5 Indonesia: the long road to recovery 129
  • STEVEN RADELET
  • Introduction 129
  • A brief economic history 130 Emerging vulnerabilities 131
  • Crisis management 136
  • From economic crisis to political upheaval 146
  • The economic situation in early 1999 147
  • 6 The Malaysian currency crisis: capital flows, policy response and macroeconomic vulnerability 157
  • ANITA DORAISAMI
  • Introduction 157
  • The magnitude and composition of capital flows 159
  • Policy response to capitalflows and macroeconomic impacts 160
  • The impacts of foreign direct investment 166
  • Fiscal policy and external debt 169
  • Conclusion 179
  • 7 Speculative attack theory and currency crisis in Korea 183
  • CHANGKYU CHOI
  • Introduction 183
  • Theories of currency crises 184
  • Causes of the currency crisis in Korea and policy tasks 190
  • Policy to prevent a future crisis 202
  • Conclusion 203
  • 8 Banking crisis in Mexico 213
  • LEONARDO TORRE
  • Introduction 213
  • Credit expansion in Mexico: 1988-94 213
  • The path to the crisis 217
  • The crisis and options for the government 221
  • Results of the rescue program 228
  • Final comments 235
  • 9 Capital flows and economic policy in Brazil 240
  • NICOLA TINGAS AND PAULO PEREIRA MIGUEL
  • Introduction 240
  • Capital flows to Latin America and economic policy choices 241
  • The Brazilian experience in the 1990s: economic policy
  • and capitalflows 244
  • Free floating, panic andfaster than expected recovery 262
  • Perspectives after thefloating of the exchange rate 268
  • Conclusion 279
  • 10 The yen that is too strong: a note on Japanese crisis 284
  • MASATO KAWANISHI
  • Introduction 284
  • Bubble economy 284
  • Bubble burst 285
  • Prolonged stagnation 286
  • Update 290
  • The yen that is too strong 290
  • 11 Lessons from the Asian financial crisis 295
  • STEVEN RADELET AND JEFFREY SACHS
  • Introduction 295
  • The origins of the crisis 296
  • Some policy implications 307
  • PART III
  • Crisis management and reforms 317
  • 12 The Asian model, the miracle, the crisis and the fund 319
  • JEFFREY A. FRANKEL
  • Origins of the crisis 319
  • Dangers of "analysis by hindsight" 320
  • Our strategy for dealing with the crisis 322
  • Critiques of the management of the crisis 323
  • 13 Financial crises and reforms: towards an assessment
  • of the emerging international financial architecture 330
  • PAOLA MONTI
  • Introduction 330
  • Episodes of emerging countries' crisis in the nineties 332
  • Role of the IMF and of the international community 339
  • Lessons to draw from crises 341
  • Reform of the internationalfinancial architecture 343
  • Conclusions 350
  • 14 Sustainability, vulnerability, and risk management 356
  • PETER CORNELIUS AND KLAUS SCHWAB
  • Introduction 356
  • Financial crises and international illiquidity 357
  • Hedging and the development of financial markets 361
  • The basic structure of VaRs 365.
  • Developing macroeconomic VaRs 367
  • Conclusion 372
  • 15 Should capital controls be banished? 376
  • RICHARD N. COOPER
  • Introduction 376
  • Semantic and other useful distinctions 377
  • Some history 378
  • Some general observations on financial markets 383
  • Pros and cons of capital liberalization 385
  • Why capital movements might not lead to efficient allocation of capital 388
  • Capital movements for market discipline 391
  • The effectiveness of capital controls 392
  • Does liberalization of capital movements foster growth? 400
  • Is capital freedom compatible with flexible exchange rates? 401
  • Conclusions 402
  • Index 409.